JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy | (NYSE:JPM) (2024)

JPMorgan Chase's odds of distress is less than 3% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. JPMorgan Chase's Odds of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting JPMorgan Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the JPMorgan balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out JPMorgan Chase Piotroski F Score and JPMorgan Chase Altman Z Score analysis.

JPMorgan

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Market Cap

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

As of the 20th of July 2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 361.4B. Also, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 353.5B

JPMorgan Chase Co Company odds of distress Analysis

JPMorgan Chase's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of JPMorgan Chase's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, JPMorgan Chase Co is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of JPMorgan Chase probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting JPMorgan Chase odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of JPMorgan Chase Co financial health.

Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JPMorgan Chase. If investors know JPMorgan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JPMorgan Chase listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.288

Dividend Share

4.4

Earnings Share

17.93

Revenue Per Share

55.471

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.32

The market value of JPMorgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Chase's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Chase's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Chase's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Chase's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Chase's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Chase is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Chase's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JPMorgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for JPMorgan Chase is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of JPMorgan Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since JPMorgan Chase's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of JPMorgan Chase's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of JPMorgan Chase's interrelated accounts and indicators.

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Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, JPMorgan Chase Co has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

JPMorgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses JPMorgan Chase's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of JPMorgan Chase could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPMorgan Chase by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

JPMorgan Chase is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

JPMorgan Chase Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01360.0086030.01290.01030.01280.0134
Asset Turnover0.04310.03540.03250.03510.040.0498
Net Debt144.4B(101.2B)(271.7B)(100.5B)(187.6B)(178.2B)
Total Current Liabilities251.3B277.8B316.3B344.2B44.7B42.5B
Non Current Liabilities Total367.1B381.2B415.6B3.3T414.8B682.7B
Total Assets2.7T3.4T3.7T3.7T3.9T4.1T
Total Current Assets747.6B1.1T1.2T969.2B305.2B314.6B
Total Cash From Operating Activities6.0B(79.9B)78.1B107.1B13.0B12.8B

JPMorgan Chase ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, JPMorgan Chase's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to JPMorgan Chase's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

JPMorgan Fundamentals

About JPMorgan Chase Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze JPMorgan Chase Co's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of JPMorgan Chase using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of JPMorgan Chase Co based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in JPMorgan Stock

When determining whether JPMorgan Chase is a strong investment it is important to analyze JPMorgan Chase's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact JPMorgan Chase's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding JPMorgan Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Check out JPMorgan Chase Piotroski F Score and JPMorgan Chase Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JPMorgan Chase. If investors know JPMorgan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JPMorgan Chase listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.288

Dividend Share

4.4

Earnings Share

17.93

Revenue Per Share

55.471

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.32

The market value of JPMorgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Chase's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Chase's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Chase's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Chase's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Chase's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Chase is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Chase's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy | (NYSE:JPM) (2024)

FAQs

JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy | (NYSE:JPM)? ›

The Probability of Bankruptcy of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is 2.8% . This number represents the probability that JPMorgan will face financial distress in the next 24 months given its current fundamentals and market conditions.

Will Chase ever go under? ›

JPMorgan Chase's odds of distress is less than 3% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. JPMorgan Chase's Odds of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting JPMorgan Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information.

Is JPMorgan Chase financially stable? ›

Strong Profitability: JPM's diversified revenue base and market-leading position underpin its solid track record of robust and stable profitability, which has led Fitch to revise its earnings and profitability assessment to 'aa' from 'aa-' and is a key rating strength relative to peers.

What would happen if Chase bank failed? ›

When a bank fails, regulatory agencies step in to sell the failed bank's assets to another FDIC-insured institution. If the assets cannot be sold, the FDIC will directly reimburse customers.

What is the Probability of Bankruptcy? ›

Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis.

Is Chase Bank closing in 2024? ›

Chase Bank has confirmed plans to close at least 23 more branches throughout various states in 2024. This decision is part of a broader trend seen across the banking industry, where physical branches are being phased out in favor of online banking solutions.

How safe is J.P. Morgan bank? ›

JPMS is a member of SIPC, which was created by Congress to protect Customers of securities brokers and dealers and to promote public confidence in the securities markets in the United States.

What is the future of JPMorgan Chase? ›

JPMorgan Chase's earnings are forecast to decline at 3.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 0.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13% in 3 years.

Is Chase bank financially secure? ›

Is Chase Bank FDIC insured? Yes, all Chase bank accounts are FDIC insured (FDIC# 628) up to $250,000 per depositor, for each account ownership category, in the event of a bank failure.

How strong is JPMorgan Chase bank? ›

With US$3.9 trillion in total assets, JPMorgan Chase is the fifth-largest bank in the world by assets.

Is JPMorgan Chase bank in trouble? ›

The Fed fined the bank alongside the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), and said the misconduct occurred between 2014 and 2023. In a separate announcement, the OCC said JPMorgan failed to properly monitor billions of trades across at least 30 global trading venues.

Is my money safe with Chase Bank? ›

Is Chase safe? Chase is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and customer deposits of up to £85,000 (£170,000 for joint accounts) are protected under the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS). This means, if Chase went out of business, the FSCS would step in to cover up to this threshold.

Which banks are failing in 2024? ›

Republic First Bank failed on April 26, 2024. Citizens Bank of Sac City, Iowa, failed on November 3, 2023. Heartland Tri-State Bank failed on July 28, 2023.

What is Best Buy's probability of bankruptcy? ›

The Probability of Bankruptcy of Best Buy Co Inc (BBY) is 15.1% . This number represents the probability that Best Buy will face financial distress in the next 24 months given its current fundamentals and market conditions.

What is bankruptcy prediction? ›

Bankruptcy prediction is the art of predicting bankruptcy and various measures of financial distress of public firms. It is a vast area of finance and accounting research. The importance of the area is due in part to the relevance for creditors and investors in evaluating the likelihood that a firm may go bankrupt.

How many creditors does it take to force a bankruptcy? ›

As a petitioning creditor you may file an involuntary case against the debtor unless the debtor has twelve or more creditors, in which case you need at least two other creditors to join in the petition. If the debtor's answer asserts that there are twelve or more creditors, then pursuant to Fed.

Is Chase Bank too big to fail? ›

JPMorgan Chase is the largest bank in the U.S. That worries some critics, who see it as "too big to fail." SCOTT SIMON, HOST: Ever since the global financial crisis, there's been a lot of consolidation among banks. Many of them have gotten larger, but one towers over all.

Is Chase pay shutting down? ›

Chase Pay Discontinued

In 2019, Chase Pay announced that it will be closing the Chase Pay standalone app, but payment methods through participating websites will remain functional. This implies that users can choose to pay using Chase Pay for some online purchases, but its QR code feature will no longer be supported.

Is Chase being bought out? ›

WESTWOOD, MA and NEW YORK– July 21, 2023 – Chase Corporation (“Chase” or the “Company”) (NYSE American: CCF), a leading global manufacturer of protective materials for high-reliability applications across diverse market sectors, today announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by an ...

Can Chase go negative? ›

Chase Overdraft Assist℠

Your checking account is overdrawn when there's not enough money to cover a payment, purchase or check you write. We may pay overdraft transactions at our discretion based on your account history, the deposits you make and the transaction amount.

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